Member-only story
Top 5 things to determine Biden’s chances of being reelected in 2024
History shows that the likelihood of a president getting reelected depends on various factors.
Incumbent presidents usually have a higher chance of winning reelection. They have a built-in advantage due to their visibility and established presence. They often have a more extensive campaign infrastructure and name recognition. However, there are exceptions based on the unique circumstances of each election.
A president’s chances of being reelected are influenced by several key factors:
1. Approval Ratings
High approval ratings generally correlate with a better chance of reelection. Positive public perception reflects satisfaction with the president’s performance.
Historically, high approval ratings have been a reliable indicator of a president’s favorable chances for reelection. One notable example is Ronald Reagan, whose approval ratings soared during his first term as president in the 1980s. Reagan’s adept handling of economic issues, such as tax cuts and deregulation, contributed to a strong economy and high public approval. Consequently, he won a landslide victory in the 1984 election, showcasing the connection between positive public perception and…
